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Decision structuring in important real-life choices

机译:重要现实选择中的决策结构

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摘要

Results from five studies of real-life decision making are compared. In these studies, participants consistently constrained the amount of information they considered to relatively few options and to a somewhat larger set of criteria. Over time, the number of options considered shrank, but the number of criteria used did not. People's intuitive "calibration" with the predictions of normative linear models is surprisingly good. Although there are effects of education and ability on the amount of information considered, different decision-making styles correlate mostly with affective reactions to, and subjective descriptions of, the approach to a specific decision. Implications for theoretical models of decision making are discussed.
机译:比较了五项现实生活中的决策研究结果。在这些研究中,参与者始终将他们考虑的信息量限制在相对较少的选择和一组更大的标准中。随着时间的流逝,认为的选项数量减少了,但是使用的标准数量却没有减少。人们对规范线性模型的预测具有直观的“校准”效果,这出奇地好。尽管教育和能力对所考虑的信息量有影响,但不同的决策方式主要与对特定决策方法的情感反应和主观描述相关。讨论了决策理论模型的含义。

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