Regional socio-economic development on the basis of scenario forecasting method

摘要

This paper offers a comprehensive predictive study of socio-economic development of the region. The study is based on comparative assessment and analysis of the proposed forecast midterm scenarios. The grouping of indicators system formed by the type of impact on life quality of population in the region has been carried out to construct the forecast scenarios of development in ordinal scales. Analysis of forecast scenarios of Tatarstan territorial development for the period up to 2020 showed a moderately optimistic scenario as the most likely one.