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Modeling head-on crash severity with drivers under the influence of alcohol or drugs (DUI) and non-DUI

机译:用酒精或药物(DUI)和非DUI影响下的司机对头部碰撞严重程度进行建模

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Objective: The objective of this research is to identify and compare contributing factors to head-on crashes with drivers under and not under the influence of alcohol or drugs. Methods: The head-on crash data are collected from 2005 to 2013 in North Carolina from four aspects: vehicle, driver, roadway, and environmental characteristics. The final dataset includes 9,153 head-on crashes. A mixed logit model is developed to analyze the crash dataset involving drivers under and not under the influence of alcohol or drugs. Results: According to the obtained results, factors such as rural roadways, adverse weather, curve road, and high speed limit are among the most significant contributing factors to both head-on crashes with DUI and non-DUI. In addition, the results of this research demonstrate that high speed limit is found to be better modeled as random-parameters at specific injury severity levels for head-on crashes with DUI. Besides the factors mentioned above, dark light condition, old drivers, pickups, and motorcycles also significantly affect the severity of head-on crashes with non-DUI. Conclusions: The results of this study identify various factors that significantly affect the severity of head-on crashes with drivers under and not under the influence of alcohol or drugs. Also, the mixed logit model examines the heterogeneous effects and correlation in unobserved factors by allowing coefficients to be randomly distributed. The findings of this study call for more attention to head-on crashes and provide a reference for planners and engineers when developing and selecting countermeasures to reduce and/or mitigate head-on crashes.
机译:目的:本研究的目的是识别和比较与在酒精或毒品的影响下的司机的司机崩溃的贡献因素。方法:从2005年到2013年在北卡罗来纳州的四个方面收集了头部崩溃数据:车辆,司机,道路和环境特征。最终数据集包含9,153个头部崩溃。开发了一个混合的Logit模型,以分析涉及驾驶员和不受酒精或药物影响的司机数据集。结果:根据所得的结果,农村道路,天气恶劣,曲线道等因素是与DUI和非DUI坠毁的最重要贡献因素。此外,该研究的结果表明,发现高速限制在具有DUI的头部碰撞的特定损伤严重程度上作为随机参数更好地建模。除了上述因素外,暗光状况,旧驾驶员,拾取和摩托车也显着影响了非DUI对头部坠机的严重程度。结论:本研究的结果确定了各种因素,这些因素会显着影响头部坠机的严重程度,而不是在酒精或药物的影响下的司机。此外,混合的Logit模型通过允许随机分布的系数来检查非均相的效果和不受观察因子中的相关性。这项研究的调查结果要求更多地关注头部崩溃,并在开发和选择对策以减少和/或减轻头部碰撞时提供策划者和工程师的参考。

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