Causality between Real Estate Market and Stock Market: Evidence from REIT Index in Taiwan

摘要

This paper investigates short-run dynamic interactions between real estate investment trust (REIT) index and stock market index in Taiwan over the 2006-2015 periods. In addition to traditional linear analysis, the recently developed models are applied to explore the possible short-run non-linear linkage between the two indexes. The results of linear Granger causality tests show weak evidence of linear causality from REIT index to stock index. Further analysis from non-linearGranger causality test sreveals no causality between the two indexes. These findings have important implication for investors.