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Integrating Process Simulation Modeling and Predictive Analytics to Gain Deeper Insights into Machine Health and Performance

机译:集成流程仿真建模和预测分析,以获得更深入的洞察机器健康和性能

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The efficacy of machine learning (ML) algorithms for turbomachinery condition monitoring can be compromised by the lack of robust historical data for training. While unsupervised or deep learning (DL) algorithms may be used when sufficient volumes of ‘labeled’ data are unavailable, they offer limited insights into detected anomalies or outliers. Additionally, the inherent dependency on data volume and variety delays the deployment of these algorithms, making an ML-only approach unsuitable for situations such as a machine's first operating run. The paper discusses how a combination approach utilizing both first-principle based performance algorithms and ML algorithms can address several shortcomings of the ML-only approach. Examples are provided to demonstrate that one type of algorithm can outperform the other in the detection of specific anomalies. Therefore, when deployed in parallel, they provide the ability to predict / detect a larger universe of machine faults. The combination approach can also address the lack of interpretability inherent to ML algorithms in cases wherein both sets of algorithms show anomalous behavior. To further address the issue of data inadequacy and poor data quality, the concept of simulation-based transfer learning is introduced. A thermodynamic simulation model is used to generate performance data for a multistage, variable composition centrifugal pump. This data is then used to train two deep stateful LSTM neural network models to predict pump discharge pressure. In the first model only simulation data is used for training while for the second model both simulation and historical data are used. Prediction results from both models are compared with those from a performance algorithm and an LSTM model trained solely on historical data. Test results demonstrate that the LSTM model trained on both simulation and historical data outperforms the other algorithms. This methodology can be applied successfully to accelerate the deployment and enhance the value of deep learning algorithms for machine performance analysis. An additional benefit of training the model on simulated data derived from well proven thermodynamic/aerodynamic principles, is that the insightfulness of performance algorithms may be ‘inherited’ by the deep learning algorithms.
机译:机器学习(ML)算法用于涡轮机械状态监测的功效可能因缺乏培训缺乏鲁棒历史数据而受到损害。虽然当足够的“标记”数据不可用时,可以使用无监督或深度学习(DL)算法,但它们会对检测到的异常或异常值提供有限的洞察。此外,对数据量和变化的固有依赖性延迟了这些算法的部署,使得仅用于诸如机器的首次操作运行的情况下不适合。本文讨论了如何利用基于第一原理的性能算法和ML算法的组合方法如何解决毫秒方法的几个缺点。提供了示例以证明一种类型的算法可以在特定异常的检测中突出另一个算法。因此,当并行部署时,它们提供了预测/检测更大宇宙的机器故障的能力。组合方法还可以解决在案例中缺乏ML算法固有的可解释性,其中两组算法显示出异常行为。为了进一步解决数据不足和数据质量差的问题,介绍了基于模拟的转移学习的概念。热力学仿真模型用于生成多级可变组合离心泵的性能数据。然后使用该数据来训练两个深处的LSTM神经网络模型以预测泵排出压力。在第一型号中,仅仿真数据用于培训,而第二模型则使用模拟和历史数据。将两种模型的预测结果与来自性能算法的预测结果和仅在历史数据上培训的LSTM模型。测试结果表明,在模拟和历史数据上培训的LSTM模型优于其他算法。该方法可以成功应用,以加速部署并增强计算机性能分析的深度学习算法的值。培训培训模型的额外好处是源自经过精力化的热力学/空气动力学原理的模拟数据,是性能算法的见解可能是深度学习算法的“继承”。

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