A Statistician Reads the Sports Pages: Easy to Criticize, Harder to Verify: Fourth and Goal in Post-2011 NFL Overtime

摘要

Quarterback Matt Flynn had been Aaron Rodgers' backup for four seasons in Green Bay before signing on with Seattle in 2012 with the hope of being their starting quarterback. When Rodgers went down with a broken collarbone in week nine of the 2013 season, the Green Bay Packers (GB) brought Flynn back to help out. On week 13, in a home game against the Minnesota Vikings (MN), GB turned to Flynn to keep their playoff hopes alive. Down by 16 in the fourth quarter, Flynn led a heroic comeback to tie the game and send it to overtime.