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A priori estimates of mixing and circulation in the hard-to-reach water body of Lake Vostok

机译:沃斯托克湖难以到达的水体中混合和循环的先验估计

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摘要

Lake Vostok in Eastern Antarctica is covered by a ~4000 m thick ice sheet that glides over the subglacial water body on a time scale of ~20 000 years. As a basis for "pre-expedition" planning, a priori estimates are made for water temperature, heat flux and currents. Whereas vertical temperature gradients are predicted to be extremely small due to geothermally driven convective turbulence, horizontal temperature gradients are expected to be present due to the horizontal gradient of the pressure-dependent freezing point at the base of the sloped ice ceiling. Except at the lake's deepest location, where a thin stratified layer may develop, the vertical in situ temperature profile will be near the adiabatic lapse rate. Based on internal heat fluxes associated with observed melting and re-freezing at the base of the ice sheet we calculate internal currents by assuming geostrophic balance. Vertical and horizontal motions are both expected to lie in the range of fractions of mm/s. Ice plasticity (hydrostatic adjustment) and water-ice heat exchanges are predicted to flatten the ice-cover quickly to a remarkably smooth terrain while the ice moves over the lake. These results corroborate well with the recent finding that only the upper part of accreted lake water, retrieved from the Vostok ice-core, contains particles. Our predictions are discussed with respect to uncertainties and the experimental challenges to be met.
机译:南极东部的沃斯托克湖被约4000 m厚的冰盖所覆盖,冰盖在冰川下的水体上滑动,覆盖时间约2万年。作为“预探险”计划的基础,对水温,热通量和水流进行先验估计。鉴于由于地热驱动的对流湍流,垂直温度梯度预计极小,而由于倾斜冰盖底部压力相关凝固点的水平梯度,预计存在水平温度梯度。除了在湖泊最深的位置(可能会形成薄的分层层)以外,垂直的原位温度剖面将接近绝热流失率。根据与冰盖底部观测到的融化和重新冻结相关的内部热通量,我们通过假定地转平衡来计算内部电流。预期垂直和水平运动都在毫米/秒的分数范围内。预计冰的可塑性(静水压力调节)和水冰的热交换会在冰在湖面上移动的同时迅速将冰盖变平成非常光滑的地形。这些结果与最近的发现很好地证明了这一点,即最近从沃斯托克冰芯中回收的湖水的上半部分含有颗粒。我们的预测讨论了不确定性和需要满足的实验挑战。

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