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Vulnerability and risk: comparing assessment approachesTI Vulnerability and risk: comparing assessment approaches

机译:脆弱性和风险:比较评估方法TI脆弱性和风险:比较评估方法

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摘要

The concepts vulnerability and risk are of great importance in the fields of climate change and natural hazards. Confusion is asserted in the terminology used by the respective communities, and a large conceptual literature has not solved this problem. This affects the communication within and between the two communities and the comparison of results from vulnerability and risk assessments. This paper argues that the main difference between methods to assess vulnerability and risk in the climate and the disaster communities is not a conceptual one, but rather different terminologies are used. This point is made using a formal framework of vulnerability to climate change that makes the structure of vulnerability and risk assessments explicit. The framework distinguishes three assessment approaches in the field of vulnerability to climate change, which recur-under different labels-in the risk assessment approaches analysed. While within each community, the same terms are ambiguously used to refer to more than one assessment approach, the confusion is enhanced between the two communities by using different labels for very similar approaches. As an application of the results, similarities and differences between two assessment tools are analysed: the Dynamic Interactive Vulnerability Assessment model (DIVA) for the case of vulnerability to climate change and the CATastrophe SIMulation model (CatSim) for risk of natural hazards.
机译:脆弱性和风险的概念在气候变化和自然灾害领域中非常重要。各个社区使用的术语中都存在混淆,并且大量的概念文献尚未解决此问题。这影响了两个社区内部和之间的沟通以及脆弱性和风险评估结果的比较。本文认为,评估气候和灾害社区的脆弱性和风险的方法之间的主要区别不是概念上的,而是使用了不同的术语。这一点是使用对气候变化的脆弱性的正式框架提出的,该框架使脆弱性和风险评估的结构变得明确。该框架在易受气候变化影响的领域中区分了三种评估方法,在评估的风险评估方法中,这三种方法以不同的标签重复出现。虽然在每个社区中,相同的术语都被模棱两可地用于指代不止一种评估方法,但是通过对非常相似的方法使用不同的标签,会加剧两个社区之间的混淆。作为结果的应用,分析了两种评估工具之间的异同:用于应对气候变化脆弱性的动态交互式漏洞评估模型(DIVA)和用于自然灾害风险的CATastrophe模拟模型(CatSim)。

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