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ESTIMATORS FOR PERSISTENT AND POSSIBLY NONSTATIONARY DATA WITH CLASSICAL PROPERTIES

机译:具有经典性质的持久性和可能的​​非平稳数据的估计

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摘要

This paper considers a moments-based nonlinear estimator that is √T-consistent and uniformly asymptotically normal irrespective of the degree of persistence of the forcing process. These properties hold for linear autoregressive models, linear predictive regressions, and certain nonlinear dynamic models. Asymptotic normality is obtained because the moments are chosen so that the objective function is uniformly bounded in probability and so that a central limit theorem can be applied. Critical values from the normal distribution can be used irrespective of the treatment of the deterministic terms. Simulations show that the estimates are precise and the r-test has good size in the parameter region where the least squares estimates usually yield distorted inference.
机译:本文考虑基于矩的非线性估计量,其与强迫过程的持续程度无关,为√T一致且一致渐近正态。这些属性适用于线性自回归模型,线性预测回归和某些非线性动力学模型。由于选择了矩,使得目标函数在概率上均匀地受限制,因此可以应用中心极限定理,从而获得了渐近正态性。无论确定性术语如何处理,都可以使用正态分布的临界值。仿真表明,该估计是精确的,并且r检验在参数区域具有良好的大小,其中最小二乘估计通常会产生失真的推断。

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