Spatial variability of long-term trends in significant wave height over the Gulf of Gdansk using System Identification techniques

摘要

The significant wave height field over the Gulf of Gdansk in the Baltic Sea is simulated back to the late 19 1 b century using selected data-driven System Identification techniques (Takagi-Sugeno-Kang neuro-fuzzy system and non-linear optimization methods) and the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD Reanalysis 2 wind fields. Spatial variability of trends in the simulated dataset is briefly presented to show a cumulative "storminess" increase in the open, eastern part of the Gulf of Gdansk and a decrease in the sheltered, western part of the Gulf.