Electric revenge after 100 years? Comparing car market patterns around 1900 and 2000

Marc Dijk

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Electric revenge after 100 years? Comparing car market patterns around 1900 and 2000

机译：100年后电动复仇？比较汽车市场模式大约1900年和2000年

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During the closing years of the nineteenth century electric vehicles (EV) outsold every other type of vehicle. Yet within ten years the electric automobile was no more and the internal combustion engined car predominated. Could EVs have succeeded or was the technology - in particular the batteries - simply not good enough? As EVs make a comeback in the early 21st century some of the same problems persist. Only one manufacturer (Tesla) has built an electric automobile capable of approaching the range of an internal combustion engined vehicle. Most modern EVs have a range of approximately 160 kilometres, which decreases their usability in longer trips. This paper compares the introduction of electric vehicles in the USA in the late 19th century with the early 21st century from a socio-technical transition perspective. It discusses similarities and differences in market innovation patterns and concludes on the chances for a successful revenge today.

机译：在十九世纪的闭合年度，电动车（EV）外销其他所有类型的车辆。然而，在十年内，电动汽车不再且内燃机占主导地位。 EVS可以成功或是技术 - 特别是电池 - 根本不够好吗？由于EVS在21世纪初在21世纪恢复了一些同样的问题持续存在。只有一个制造商（Tesla）建立了一种能够接近内燃机的电动汽车的电动汽车。大多数现代EV都有大约160公里的范围，这减少了它们在更长的旅行中的可用性。本文比较了19世纪后期在19世纪后期的电动汽车引进了21世纪，从社会技术过渡的角度来看。它讨论了市场创新模式的相似之处和差异，并结束了今天成功复仇的机会。

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《International Journal of Automotive Technology and Management》 |2016年第2期|共22页
作者
Marc Dijk;
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作者单位

ICIS Maastricht University;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类汽车工程;
关键词
Electric mobility; Innovation pattern; Transition; Socio-technical change;

机译：电动流动性;创新模式;过渡;社会技术变革;

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1. Electric revenge after 100 years? Comparing car market patterns around 1900 and 2000 [J] . Marc Dijk International Journal of Automotive Technology and Management . 2016,第2期

机译：100年后电动复仇？比较汽车市场模式大约1900年和2000年
2. Until 100 years ago, electric cars dominated the market [J] . Laura Gardner Professional engineering . 2010,第7期

机译：直到100年前，电动汽车一直主导着市场
3. Comparing least cost scenarios for 100%renewable electricity with low emission fossil fuel scenarios in the Australian National Electricity Market [J] . Ben Elliston, Iain MacGill, Mark Diesendorf Renewable energy . 2014,第juna期

机译：在澳大利亚国家电力市场中比较100％可再生电力与低排放化石燃料情景的最低成本情景
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Electric revenge after 100 years? Comparing car market patterns around 1900 and 2000

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