Parameter estimation and threshold selection uncertainty in extreme wind speed distribution - A frequentist approach with generalized Pareto distribution using automatic threshold selection

摘要

Nowadays, the use of probabilistic modeling for the design of engineering structures is becoming more and more widespread due to the advances in computer technology. In order to have a comprehensive picture about a meteorological phenomenon, e.g., wind actions on structures, uncertainties must be taken into account. From structural engineering and practical points of view, the effect of the length of short time series available for the analysis on the final results can be interesting to define a minimum observation-length. In this way, the real condition at the site can be utilized to assess wind loading effects On the structure.