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A Multiobjective Robust Approach for the Design of Natural Gas Transmission Pipelines

机译:天然气传动管道设计的多目标鲁棒方法

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摘要

This paper presents a chance-constrained multiobjective optimization framework for the optimal design of gas transmission lines (GTL) in which the total annual cost (TAC) and operability index as the two conflicting objectives are minimized and maximized, respectively. The delivery flow rates are assumed to be random Gaussian variables since the customer demand can be uncertain in the design phase. Accordingly, a robustness measure is introduced in order to quantify the risk of the final design against delivery uncertainties. The proposed model is capable of determining the optimum design variables including the pipeline diameter and thickness along with the location of the compressor stations and their capacities. The effects of design parameters including pipe thickness, pipe diameter and customer demand uncertainty level on the design of a GTL are investigated from economic as well as the robustness point of view. It is shown that the design with the highest nominal pipe size (NPS) and least thickness possible is the optimal design when TAC is considered as the objective function while the design with both the highest NPS and thickness possible shows the highest robustness and flexibility against delivery demand fluctuations. The final decision about the optimal NPS and thickness should be made on the basis of the expected uncertainty of the customer future demand. The results also can quantitatively suggest the required over-design factor that must be considered in the design phase of the GTL for various compressor stations.
机译:本文提出了一种机会约束的多目标优化优化框架,用于气体传输线(GTL)的最佳设计,其中总年度成本(TAC)和可操作性指数分别最小化和最大化。由于客户需求在设计阶段可能不确定,假设递送流量是随机高斯变量。因此,引入了稳健性度量,以便量化最终设计的风险免于输送不确定性。所提出的模型能够确定包括管道直径和厚度的最佳设计变量以及压缩机站的位置及其容量。从经济以及稳健性的角度,研究了包括管厚度,管道直径和客户需求的设计参数的影响,包括GTL设计的不确定性水平。结果表明,具有最高的标称管道尺寸(NPS)和最小厚度的设计是当TAC被认为是目标函数时的最佳设计,同时设计具有最高NPS和厚度的设计显示最高的鲁棒性和速度的速度需求波动。应在客户未来需求的预期不确定性的基础上进行关于最佳NPS和厚度的最终决定。结果也可以定量表明所需的过度设计因子,必须在GTL的设计阶段中考虑各种压缩机站。

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