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Impact of sewer condition on urban flooding: An uncertainty analysis based on field observations and Monte Carlo simulations on full hydrodynamic models

机译:下水道条件对城市洪水的影响:基于实地观测和基于蒙特卡罗模拟的全流体动力学模型的不确定性分析

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摘要

In-sewer defects are directly responsible for affecting the performance of sewer systems. Notwithstanding the impact of the condition of the assets on serviceability, sewer performance is usually assessed assuming the absence of in-sewer defects. This leads to an overestimation of serviceability. This paper presents the results of a study in two research catchments on the impact of in-sewer defects on urban pluvial flooding at network level. Impacts are assessed using Monte Carlo simulations with a full hydrodynamic model of the sewer system. The studied defects include root intrusion, surface damage, attached and settled deposits, and sedimentation. These defects are based on field observations and translated to two model parameters (roughness and sedimentation). The calculation results demonstrate that the return period of flooding, number of flooded locations and flooded volumes are substantially affected by in-sewer defects. Irrespective of the type of sewer system, the impact of sedimentation is much larger than the impact of roughness. Further research will focus on comparing calculated and measured behaviour in one of the research catchments.
机译:下水道内的缺陷直接影响下水道系统的性能。尽管资产状况对可使用性有影响,但通常会在不存在下水道缺陷的情况下评估下水道的性能。这导致对可维护性的高估。本文介绍了两个研究流域的一项研究结果,这些研究结果涉及网络层次上的下水道缺陷对城市小雨洪水的影响。使用蒙特卡洛模拟和下水道系统的完整水动力模型评估影响。研究的缺陷包括根部侵入,表面损坏,附着和沉淀的沉积物以及沉降。这些缺陷基于现场观察,并转换为两个模型参数(粗糙度和沉降)。计算结果表明,下水道缺陷严重影响了洪水的返还期,受洪地点的数量和受洪量。不管下水道系统的类型如何,沉降的影响都比粗糙度的影响大得多。进一步的研究将集中于比较其中一个研究区的计算和测量的行为。

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