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Juggling risks and benefits

机译:兼顾风险和收益

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An editorial in Science for 30 September considers the significance of risk in actions over which decisions must be taken in modern societies.Choice of whether or not to take a particular line of action is usually decided after a comparison of possible or probable risks and benefits.If the latter prevail,a project goes forward.But things are in practice far more complicated.There may be alternative ways of gaining the same benefit and,in that event,the basis of choice must have reference to a comparison of the probable risks associated with the alternatives.In industrialised democracies people and governments are usually averse to risk,and in legal and administrative circles greater safety is preferred to lesser,and definitions are vague,such as"reasonable certainty of no harm"or"adequate margin of safety",whatever those phrases may mean.
机译:《科学》杂志9月30日的社论认为,风险在现代社会中必须做出决定的行动中具有重要意义。通常,是在比较可能的或可能的风险和收益之后,决定是否采取特定行动。如果后者占上风,那么一个项目就可以进行。但是实际上情况要复杂得多。可能会有其他途径获得相同的利益,在这种情况下,选择的基础必须参考比较可能的风险。在工业化民主国家中,人民和政府通常不愿冒险,而在法律和行政领域中,优先选择较小的安全性较高,并且定义模糊不清,例如“合理确定的无害确定性”或“足够的安全裕度”。 ,无论这些短语可能意味着什么。

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