Real GDP growth in China is expected to pick up in the December quarter of 2012 and into 2013, and the latest forecast (from October) from the IMF—whose forecasts we use in our analysis—of annual growth of 8.2% in 2013 (from an estimated 7.8% in 2012) is looking reasonable. The IMF then sees Chinese growth averaging around 8.5% per year in 2014-2017. This is well below the 10.5% average growth achieved in the ten years to 2011, but respectable nonetheless.
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