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Domestic policy responses to the food price crisis: the case of Bolivia.

机译:国内政策对粮食价格危机的反应:玻利维亚的情况。

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摘要

In face of the global food crisis of 2007-2008, severe concerns arose about how developing countries would be affected by the extreme short-term fluctuations in international commodity prices. We examine the effects of the crisis on Bolivia, one of the poorest countries of the Americas. We focus on the effectiveness of the domestic policy interventions in preventing spillovers of the development of international food prices to domestic markets. Using a cointegration model, we study price interdependencies of wheat flour, sunflower oil and poultry. The analysis suggests that the policy measures taken had little effect on food security during the food crisis. Throughout the entire period, perfect price transmission between the Bolivian poultry and sunflower oil markets and the respective international reference markets existed. Bolivian prices were determined by international prices and the policy interventions in the markets of these two commodities were not found to have had an effect. The government's large-scale wheat flour imports did not shield Bolivian consumers from the shocks of international prices.
机译:面对2007年至2008年的全球粮食危机,人们对国际商品价格的极端短期波动将如何影响发展中国家产生了严重关切。我们研究了危机对玻利维亚的影响,玻利维亚是美洲最贫穷的国家之一。我们将重点放在国内政策干预措施的有效性上,以防止国际食品价格的上涨溢出到国内市场。使用协整模型,我们研究了小麦粉,葵花籽油和家禽的价格相互依赖性。分析表明,在粮食危机期间采取的政策措施对粮食安全影响不大。在整个期间,玻利维亚家禽和葵花籽油市场与相应的国际参考市场之间存在完美的价格传导。玻利维亚的价格由国际价格决定,没有发现对这两种商品的市场进行政策干预。政府大规模进口小麦粉并未使玻利维亚的消费者免受国际价格冲击的影响。

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