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首页> 外文期刊>Discrete dynamics in nature and society >Forecasting Beijing Transportation Hub Areas's Pedestrian Flow Using Modular Neural Network
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Forecasting Beijing Transportation Hub Areas's Pedestrian Flow Using Modular Neural Network

机译:基于模块化神经网络的北京交通枢纽地区行人流量预测

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Along with the increasing proportion of urban public transportation trip, pedestrian flow in transportation hub areas increased. For effectively improving the emergency handling ability of related management apartments and preventing the incident of pedestrian congestion, this paper studied the method of pedestrian flow forecast in Beijing transportation hub areas. Firstly, 34 typical sidewalks in Beijing transportation hub areas were surveyed to obtain 2200 valid data. Secondly, correlation analysis was used to analyze the relationship between pedestrian flow and its influential factors. 11 significant influential factors were extracted. Thirdly, forecasting model was established with modular neural network. The surveyed pedestrian flow sample was fuzzy clustered according to the regional land use where the transportation hub existed. Then, membership function based on the distance measure was constructed. Through fuzzy discrimination, online selection for the sub network of the information can be achieved. Consequently, the self-adaptation of the neural network on information processing was improved. Finally, this paper tested the pedestrian flow sample of a transportation hub in Beijing. It was concluded that the accuracy of pedestrian flow forecasting model using modular neural network was higher than other neural network models. There was also improvement in the adaptability to environment.
机译:随着城市公共交通出行比例的增加,交通枢纽地区的行人流量增加。为了有效提高相关管理公寓的应急处理能力,防止行人拥堵事件的发生,研究了北京交通枢纽地区行人流量的预测方法。首先,对北京交通枢纽地区的34条典型人行道进行了调查,获得2200份有效数据。其次,运用相关性分析法分析了行人流量及其影响因素之间的关系。提取了11个重要影响因素。第三,利用模块化神经网络建立了预测模型。根据交通枢纽所在区域的土地利用情况,对调查的行人流量样本进行模糊聚类。然后,构建了基于距离测度的隶属度函数。通过模糊判别,可以实现信息子网的在线选择。因此,改进了神经网络对信息处理的自适应性。最后,本文对北京某交通枢纽的行人流量样本进行了测试。结论是,采用模块化神经网络的行人流量预测模型的准确性高于其他神经网络模型。对环境的适应性也有所提高。

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