The increase in seroprevalence of bluetongue virus (BTV) serotype 8 infections and associated risk factors in Dutch dairy herds, in 2007

摘要

Bluetongue virus serotype 8 (BTV-8) emerged in the Netherlands in August 2006 for the first time. In the winter of 2006/2007, during the transmission free period, the government decided to establish a sentinel network to monitor the re-emergence of BTV-8 in 2007. Between June and December 2007, a sentinel network of 275 dairy herds with 8901 seronegative cows at start, was in place for BTV-8 testing in milk samples. Besides estimates of the monthly BTV-8 within-herd prevalence per region (south, central and north), this sentinel was used to determine BTV-8 associated risk factors. Information on management and housing practices that were hypothesized to be related to the increase in BTV-8 prevalence (risk factors) were used. Complete information on BTV-8 testing and management was obtained for 234 herds. At herd level, the increase in seroprevalence was defined as the total increase in seroprevalence amongst sentinel cows per herd during the sampling period (in months) divided by the number of sampling months in which the spread of BTV-8 occurred within the particular compartment in which the herd was located. This parameter was used as dependent variable in the linear regression analysis. The final model revealed four risk factors remained in the final model. Herds in the central and southern region of the Netherlands had a higher monthly increase in seroprevalence 6.4% (95% CI: 3.1-9.9) and 10.1% (95% CI: 6.2-14.3), respectively compared to herds in the northern region. Furthermore, there was a strong association with grazing. The monthly increase in seroprevalence in cattle pastured a few hours per day or throughout the day was 5.6% (95% CI: 1.4-10.2) to 11.4% (95% CI: 6.0-17.3) higher, relative to that for cattle kept indoors. For cattle that grazed outdoors throughout the day and the night, the monthly increase in seroprevalence was 13.6% (95% CI: 7.2-20.8). In addition, an association was found between the monthly increase in seroprevalence and some factors relating to stable design. Keeping the stable doors closed during the day was linked to a higher seroprevalence rate compared to that in stables with the door left open (3.6% (95% CI: 0.3-7.1)). Furthermore, a horizontal ventilation opening (>30cm) along the walls of the stable, and with a windbreak curtain, appeared to offer some protection (3.0% per month (95% CI: 6.0 to 0.2)) as compared to stables that had no or, only a small, ventilation opening (<30cm). By the second half of 2007, bluetongue had spread over throughout the Netherlands. Our study indicated that there were some management factors that may help limit exposure to BTV-8 and its consequences.