Population Forecasting of Zhan-Li Dong-Ethnic Village Based on GM(1,1) Model

摘要

Zhanli Dong Ethnic Minority Village (Zhanli village) is well known as the First Village of Family Planning in China. In this paper, the Zhanli village's population is forecasted by GM(1, 1) model with high accuracy above 98%. The forecasting values show that the population of Zhanli village is likely to increase in the following years due to some external factors' intervention. The Zhanli village's population controlling experience enlightens us to solve the population problem all over the world especially in developing countries.