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Wavelet and ANN combination model for prediction of daily suspended sediment load in rivers

机译:小波与神经网络组合模型预测河流日悬沙量

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摘要

In this research, a new wavelet artificial neural network (WANN) model was proposed for daily suspended sediment load (SSL) prediction in rivers. In the developed model, wavelet analysis was linked to an artificial neural network (ANN). For this purpose, daily observed time series of river discharge (Q) and SSL in Yadkin River at Yadkin College, NC station in the USA were decomposed to some sub-time series at different levels by wavelet analysis. Then, these sub-time series were imposed to the ANN technique for SSL time series modeling. To evaluate the model accuracy, the proposed model was compared with ANN, multi linear regression (MLR), and conventional sediment rating curve (SRC) models. The comparison of prediction accuracy of the models illustrated that the WANN was the most accurate model in SSL prediction. Results presented that the WANN model could satisfactorily simulate hysteresis phenomenon, acceptably estimate cumulative SSL, and reasonably predict high SSL values.
机译:在这项研究中,提出了一种新的小波人工神经网络(WANN)模型来预测河流中的日常悬浮泥沙负荷(SSL)。在开发的模型中,将小波分析链接到人工神经网络(ANN)。为此,通过小波分析,将美国北卡罗来纳州亚德金学院亚德金河的每日观测到的河流流量(Q)和SSL的时间序列分解为不同水平的一些子时间序列。然后,将这些子时间序列应用于用于SSL时间序列建模的ANN技术。为了评估模型的准确性,将提出的模型与人工神经网络,多元线性回归(MLR)和常规泥沙评级曲线(SRC)模型进行了比较。模型预测准确性的比较表明,WANN是SSL预测中最准确的模型。结果表明,WANN模型可以令人满意地模拟磁滞现象,可以合理地估计累积SSL,并可以合理地预测较高的SSL值。

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