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Life-cycle studies of biodiesel in Europe: A review addressing the variability of results and modeling issues

机译:欧洲生物柴油的生命周期研究:针对结果变化和建模问题的综述

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Renewable energy sources, and particularly biofuels, are being promoted as possible solutions to address global warming and the depletion of petroleum resources. Nevertheless, significant disagreement and controversies exist regarding the actual benefits of biofuels displacing fossil fuels, as shown by a large number of life-cycle studies that have varying and sometimes contradictory conclusions. This article presents a comprehensive review of life-cycle studies of biodiesel in Europe. Studies have been compared in terms of nonrenewable primary energy requirement and GHG intensity of biodiesel. Recently published studies negate the definite and deterministic advantages for biodiesel presented in former studies. A high variability of results, particularly for biodiesel GHC intensity, with emissions ranging from 15 to 170 gCO_2eq MJ_f~(-1) has been observed. A detailed assessment of relevant aspects, including major assumptions, modeling choices and results, has been performed. The main causes for this high variability have been investigated, with emphasis on modeling choices. Key issues found are treatment of co-product and land use modeling, including high uncertainty associated with N_2O and carbon emissions from cultivated soil. Furthermore, a direct correlation between how soil emissions were modeled and increasing values for calculated GHG emission has been found. A robust biodiesel life-cycle modeling has been implemented and the main sources of uncertainty have been investigated to show how uncertainty can be addressed to improve the transparency and reliability of results. Recommendations for further research work concerning the improvement of biofuel life cycle modeling are also presented.
机译:人们正在推广可再生能源,特别是生物燃料,作为解决全球变暖和石油资源枯竭的可能解决方案。然而,如大量生命周期研究所得出的结论不同,有时得出相互矛盾的结论,在生物燃料替代化石燃料的实际利益方面仍存在重大分歧和争议。本文对欧洲生物柴油的生命周期研究进行了全面回顾。已就不可再生的一次能源需求和生物柴油的温室气体强度进行了比较研究。最近发表的研究否定了先前研究中提出的生物柴油的确定性和确定性优势。已经观察到结果的高度可变性,特别是对于生物柴油GHC强度而言,其排放范围为15至170 gCO_2eq MJ_f〜(-1)。已对相关方面进行了详细评估,包括主要假设,建模选择和结果。已经研究了这种高可变性的主要原因,并着重于模型选择。发现的关键问题是对副产品和土地利用模型的处理,包括与N_2O和耕作土壤中的碳排放相关的高度不确定性。此外,还发现了如何模拟土壤排放与增加的温室气体排放量之间的直接关系。已实施了强大的生物柴油生命周期模型,并研究了不确定性的主要来源,以显示如何解决不确定性以提高结果的透明度和可靠性。还提出了有关改进生物燃料生命周期模型的进一步研究工作的建议。

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