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Applications of axiomatic fuzzy sets theory on fuzzy time series forecasting

机译:公理模糊集理论在模糊时间序列预测中的应用

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摘要

A number of methods have been proposed for forecasting based on fuzzy time series. Most of fuzzy time series are presented for forecasting enrolments. In this paper, we propose an innovate fuzzy time series forecasting model using axiomatic fuzzy set (AFS) theory. The advantages of using AFS theory in this approach are multiple: Fuzzy sets with more than one maximum value are obtained, this affects considerably the forecasting accuracy; values of membership degrees are directly obtained from the data. Compared with existing methods, the experimental study shows that the proposed method can get best forecasting accuracy rate over methods described in the literature.
机译:已经提出了许多基于模糊时间序列的预测方法。大部分模糊时间序列用于预测入学情况。在本文中,我们使用公理模糊集(AFS)理论提出了一种创新的模糊时间序列预测模型。在这种方法中使用AFS理论的优点是多方面的:获得具有多个最大值的模糊集,这大大影响了预测的准确性;隶属度的值直接从数据中获得。与现有方法相比,实验研究表明,与文献中描述的方法相比,该方法可以获得最佳的预测准确率。

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