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Proactive sustainable university transportation: Marginal effects, intrinsic values, and university students' mode choice

机译:积极的可持续大学交通:边际效应,内在价值和大学生的模式选择

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In the United States, millions of university students drive alone to school. Therefore, decreasing driving alone and related car dependence among university students is as important as doing that among the general population. But how can we prioritize resources allocated to different possible and alternative actions? This article completes a case study to systematically single out different factors that influence university students' mode choice and quantify their marginal effects, which are regarded as important references for prioritizing actions. Los Angeles, a place notorious for its car dominance, is chosen as the site of the case study. It is argued that if we could succeed in promoting non-driving-alone (NDA) modes there, we should be able to do it elsewhere, at least in the US context. Based on statistical analyses and multinomial logit models, we find that (a) access to bus services and a subsidized transit pass can boost the usage of NDA modes; (b) commute time is significantly associated with the probability of using transit and a long commute time by transit does not necessarily reduce transit's utilities or intrinsic values; (c) male and/or undergraduate students are more likely to bike or walk to the campus than other students; (d) the top three factors that have the greatest marginal effects on mode choice are ownership of a subsidized transit pass, status (graduate vs. undergraduate), and gender. These results have important policy implications for designing and prioritizing mode-sensitive programs to promote the usage of NDA modes among university students.
机译:在美国,数百万大学生独自开车上学。因此,减少普通学生的单车驾驶和相关的汽车依赖与普通人群一样重要。但是,我们如何才能优先分配分配给不同的可能行动和替代行动的资源?本文完成了一个案例研究,系统地选择了影响大学生模式选择的各种因素并量化了他们的边际效应,这些因素被认为是确定行动优先次序的重要参考。洛杉矶因其在汽车领域的统治地位而臭名昭著,因此被选为案例研究的地点。有人认为,如果我们能够在那里成功推广非自动驾驶(NDA)模式,至少在美国范围内,我们应该能够在其他地方做到这一点。基于统计分析和多项式Lo​​git模型,我们发现(a)乘坐公交车和获得补贴的公交卡可以促进NDA模式的使用; (b)通勤时间与使用公交的可能性显着相关,而通过公交延长通勤时间并不一定会减少公交的效用或内在价值; (c)与其他学生相比,男性和/或本科生更有可能骑自行车或步行去校园; (d)对交通方式选择影响最大的三大因素是补贴过境通行证的所有权,身份(大学毕业生与大学本科生)和性别。这些结果对于设计和区分模式敏感程序以促进大学生使用NDA模式具有重要的政策意义。

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