Biosphere synergism and the humankind virtual path to the hydrogen civilization era

摘要

The social synergetic analysis of the biosphere and humanity shows that in near future two attractors (human paths) will really compete: the first is an irreversible biosphere catastrophe and the second is a motion along the vector 'Hydrogen energy → Hydrogen economy → Hydrogen civilization'. In accordance with the basic assumption of the social synergetics about a fundamental possibility of the mankind conscious choice of its own post-bifurcation path to the future, the analysis based on Kondratieff s study about large cycles of the economic development leads to the fundamental conclusion: two historical stages of Hydrogen Civilization will correspond to Kondratieff's sixth (～ 2030-2090) and seventh (～ 2090-2150) hydrogen energy technological cycles with a probability up to 100%.