Probabilistic generating capacity adequacy evaluation: Research roadmap

摘要

Evaluation of the adequacy of generating capacity is one of the main planning challenges within the field of power system. With respect to the evaluation of power system reliability, a variety of criteria and techniques have been developed and utilized by numerous utilities over a number of decades. Of these, deterministic and probabilistic techniques are the ones widely used for the evaluation of generating capacity adequacy. Nowadays, modern power systems have emphasized the need for probabilistic techniques to address the challenges that power system undergone and ensure generation adequacy where the applicability of deterministic techniques is no longer valid.