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Models in Ecology

机译:生态学模型

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Models are usually surrounded by an atmospliere of mistery that limits their use. Our aire is to end this myth in order to promote the diffusion of models as tools to solve the problems faced by ecosystem managers. The retain points of this article are the concepts of a model as a simplification of a system, and system as a whole that contains at least two interrelated parts. The three basic problems of constructing and using models, which can be deduced from the analysis of those concepts, are the definition of the system, their parts, and the interactions among them. There is not ti single kind of model or method to construct it: the structure, the construction, and the achievements of each model closely depend on the problem to be solved with it. As an example, this paper details the different steps followed to construct a model, used with educational purposes, which predicts the biomass dynamics of the steppe of SW Chubut, Argentina, and its variability in response to environmental conditions. We discuss some discrepaticies between the results of the model and our knowledge of the system, and show how some of the basic assumptions must be reformulated
机译:模型通常被雾气笼罩,限制了它们的使用。我们的秘诀是终结这个神话,以促进模型的传播,将其作为解决生态系统管理者所面临问题的工具。本文的要点是作为系统简化的模型概念,以及包含至少两个相互关联的部分的系统整体。通过分析这些概念可以得出构建和使用模型的三个基本问题,即系统的定义,它们的组成部分以及它们之间的相互作用。没有任何一种模型或方法可以构建它:每个模型的结构,构造和成就都取决于要解决的问题。例如,本文详细介绍了构建模型所遵循的不同步骤,该模型用于教育目的,可预测阿根廷西南丘布特草原的生物量动态以及其对环境条件的响应性。我们讨论了模型结果与我们对系统的知识之间的一些差异,并说明了必须如何重新构造一些基本假设

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