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Vulnerability Analysis and Passenger Source Prediction in Urban Rail Transit Networks

机译:城市轨道交通网络中的脆弱性分析和客源预测

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摘要

Based on large-scale human mobility data collected in San Francisco and Boston, the morning peak urban rail transit (URT) ODs (origin-destination matrix) were estimated and the most vulnerable URT segments, those capable of causing the largest service interruptions, were identified. In both URT networks, a few highly vulnerable segments were observed. For this small group of vital segments, the impact of failure must be carefully evaluated. A bipartite URT usage network was developed and used to determine the inherent connections between urban rail transits and their passengers' travel demands. Although passengers' origins and destinations were easy to locate for a large number of URT segments, a few show very complicated spatial distributions. Based on the bipartite URT usage network, a new layer of the understanding of a URT segment's vulnerability can be achieved by taking the difficulty of addressing the failure of a given segment into account. Two proof-of-concept cases are described here: Possible transfer of passenger flow to the road network is here predicted in the cases of failures of two representative URT segments in San Francisco.
机译:根据在旧金山和波士顿收集的大规模人员流动数据,估计了早晨高峰的城市铁路运输(URT)OD(起点-目的地矩阵),而最脆弱的URT区段(那些能够造成最大服务中断的区段)是确定。在两个URT网络中,都观察到了一些高度脆弱的网段。对于这小部分重要环节,必须仔细评估失败的影响。开发了双向URT使用网络,用于确定城市轨道交通与其乘客出行需求之间的固有联系。尽管对于许多URT航段来说,旅客的始发地和目的地很容易找到,但其中有一些显示出非常复杂的空间分布。基于双向URT使用网络,可以通过考虑解决给定网段故障的​​难度来获得对URT网段漏洞的新认识。这里描述了两种概念验证的情况:在旧金山两个代表性的URT网段发生故障的情况下,预测了客流向路网的可能转移。

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