基于系统动力学的码头油库战时油料保障决策研究

摘要

针对海军码头油库战时油料保障中的油料储存量控制问题,运用系统动力学理论与方法建立了码头油厍战时油料库存仿真模型.通过对模型的应用和仿真实验,研究了战时码头油库油料储存量、码头油库所需油料补给量等变量的动态变化规律,分析了油料保障时限和油料补给时间两个参数的改变对码头油库油料储存量以及油料保障的影响,为实施高效、准确的油料保障提供了决策依据.%In this paper, we established the simulated model of harbour depot wartime POL inventory using theory and method of system dynamics, then through application and experiment, studied the dynamic patterns of wartime harbour depot POL reserve volume, harbour depot demand for replenishment and other variables and analyzed the influence of the changes in parameters of support deadline and replenishment time upon harbour depot POL reserve volume and POL support effect.