基于上下游企业不对称信息博弈的供应链应急协调

摘要

As the hypothesis that manufacturer is the core enterprise in the supply chain disruption research, emergency degree should be introduced for supplies classify management. Moreover, it is important for manufacttLrer to keep on getting the actual conditions from supplier, and avoid the inferior products coming into the whole supply chain. Because of this, game theory is used to analyze dyadic conflict and draw tendency chart for expected revenue in different situation. Then damages and recoverable possibility caused by the disruption can be described from different dimension, like time, income, etc.. According to above analysis, dynamic coordination process under multiple stages can be set up so that disruptions could recover in time. At last, actual case is chosen for verify the medel＇s feasibility.%以供应系统的突发事件为研究对象，确定制造商作为供应链中的核心企业，引进紧急系数的概念，实现突发事件下对供应品的分类管理，在此基础上以制造商获得供应商告知实情、防止劣质产品供应以及期望收益的最大化为准则，对供需双方冲突进行博弈分析，给出期望收益的趋势图，并从时间、收益等多个维度刻画突发事件可能造成的危害和可挽救度，建立不同等级供应品的供应系统动态应急模型，分多阶段对突发事件进行动态协调，得到不同等级供应品的应急预案流程，促进突发事件的快速恢复，最后选取实际案例，对模型的可行性进行验证。