城市首位度对不同产业发展的空间溢出效应*--基于空间面板德宾模型的分析

摘要

We use the Spatial Panel Durbin Model to explore the relationship between urban primacy and different industries empirically .Based on the above result,we can gain many main conclusions:improvement of one unit’urban primacy may raise this region’economy and it ’s the third industry output, but decrease its second industry output;improvement of its neighborhood urban primacy may also raise it’s both the second and third industries significantly;all regions’growth depend their neighborhood partially.%采用空间面板德宾（Durbin）模型，分析城市首位度对经济增长和不同产业发展的影响，结果表明：城市首位度对本地整体经济增长和第三产业发展具有正向促进作用，而对第二产业发展产生负向作用；相邻地区城市首位度的提高对本地第二产业和第三产业发展都具有显著的正向作用；各地区经济发展是相互依赖、相互关联的，一个地区发展会带动周围地区发展。