Analysis on Multidimensional Poverty Reduction of Industrial Structure Upgrading Based on Provincial Panel Data and Spatial Durbin Model

摘要

Industrial structure upgrading (ISU) has growth effect, siphon effect, and employment effect. The three effects exert different impacts on multiple dimensions of poverty, namely, income, medical care, and education. To obtain the relationship between and size of these effects, this paper sets up a nonlinear analysis framework, and verifies the framework empirically based on the provincial panel data of China in 2003-2017, using the spatial Doberman model (SDM). The results show that: (1) Both MDP and ISU have spatial spillover effects; (2) Advanced ISU can effectively ease the income and medical poverties in adjacent provinces, and exert an inverted U-shaped impact on local education poverty; (3) Rational ISU has a U-shaped impact on local income poverty, an inverted U-shaped impact on local medical poverty, and no significant impact on education poverty.