PPP项目全寿命周期的风险评估模型及应用研究

摘要

为了加快公共基础服务设施的建设步伐以适应经济建设发展的需要，PPP项目融资模式在全世界的应用已成为一种趋势。然而，PPP项目潜在的风险因素复杂多样，因此，应对PPP项目潜在的风险进行评估。文章首先建立了PPP项目的风险因素指标体系和风险评判的理论模型，然后运用该模型对某PPP项目从全寿命周期的角度进行了分析和评判，最后得出了该PPP项目全寿命周期各个阶段的风险度和项目综合风险度。%In order to quicken the steps of the construction of public infrastructure service to adapt to the needs of the development of economic construction,the PPP project financing model in the application has become a trend all over the world.However,the potential risk factors of PPP project is complicated,therefore, should to evaluate those potential risks.At first,this paper establishes the index system of PPP project risk factors and risk evaluation of the theoretical model,then use the model to analyze and judge one PPP project from the Angle of the whole life cycle,finally obtain the each risk degree of the total PPP project life cycle stages and the comprehensive risk degrees.