作为新兴的技术创新管理工具，技术路线图( TRM)越来越多地被用于研究技术创新的过程，以减少创新过程中的不确定性。传统的技术路线图主要考虑市场、产品和技术3个维度的变量，政策维度变量对于产业技术创新过程的影响不是其关注焦点。在剖析传统的技术路线图研究机理的基础上，尝试把政策维度纳入技术路线图的研究范畴，分析政策维度上需求面、环境面和供给面等政策工具类型与传统技术路线图中市场、产品和技术等3个维度之间互动关系和影响路径，尝试构建包含政策分析维度的政策-技术路线图( P-TRM)，同时还结合产业发展阶段的研究范畴，分析了各类政策工具在产业不同发展时期的政策与产业技术创新之间作用机制。在此结合产业发展阶段的政策-技术路线图分析框架的基础上，绘制中国风电产业和光伏产业的政策-技术路线图( P-TRM)，实证分析政策-技术路线图( P-TRM)对于若干产业技术创新与演进规律的解释力。%Technology roadmap ( TRM) , an emerging instrument of technology management, is increasingly applied to the process of technological innovation to reduce uncertainty. Traditional TRM usually consists of three dimensions:mar-ket, product, and technology, and does not take the impact of policy into account. Based on the principles of traditional TRM, this paper incorporates the policy dimension and establishes an Integrated Policy-Technology Roadmap (P-TRM). The P-TRM can display the interaction relationship between three types of policy instruments, i. e. demand, supply and environment side policies, and the market-product-technology analytical dimension. Moreover, the influence mechanisms of policy instruments in different development phases are also revealed. The P-TRM framework is exempli-fied with two cases of wind turbine and solar PV industries to explain the technology innovation process.
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