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Optimal foreign exchange market intervention for national and world economies.

机译:对国家和世界经济体的最佳外汇市场干预。

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摘要

The breakdown of the par-value exchange rate system in 1973 has led to an era of generalized floating exchange rates. We are still in search of a desirable exchange regime for a nation, or for the world as a whole. In this study, we develop an economic rationale for an optimal degree of intervention in the foreign exchange market, and ask whether empirical evidence supports the theory or suggests that the theory should lead to a change in practice.;The first essay considers the choice between fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes from the perspective of a single nation. The Taylor-type staggered wage contract model confirms the desirability of the fixed (flexible) rate for dominant real (monetary) shocks, while it imposes a trade-off between price and output stability for dominant wage shocks. Empirical studies support the view that macroeconomic stability is in general the objective of the monetary authorities.;In the second essay, we consider optimal intervention in the foreign exchange market from the international perspective. In particular, by evaluating the characteristics of both real and monetary shocks of the G-7 countries, we provide empirical background for an optimal feedback rule in an international monetary regime. The empirical results show that the world money stock target and flexible exchange rates are desirable for international monetary policy coordination.;In the third essay, a desirable exchange rate policy for developing countries is analyzed by reviewing the experience of Korea. The switch from the single currency peg to the basket currency peg in 1980 helped the monetary authorities to pursue the stabilization of the real exchange rate. However, the contribution of the exchange rate policy to fast economic growth in the 1980's is limited, and the PPP rule appears inappropriate as a guide for an equilibrium exchange rate.
机译:1973年面值汇率制度的崩溃导致了普遍浮动汇率的时代。我们仍在为一个国家或整个世界寻找理想的交换制度。在这项研究中,我们为最佳程度的外汇市场干预制定了经济学原理,并询问经验证据是否支持该理论或表明该理论应导致实践的改变。从一个国家的角度来看固定和灵活的汇率制度。泰勒(Taylor)型交错式工资合同模型确定了固定的(灵活的)利率对主导的实际(货币)冲击的可取性,同时它在主导的工资冲击的价格和产出稳定性之间进行了权衡。实证研究支持以下观点:宏观经济稳定一般是货币当局的目标。在第二篇文章中,我们从国际角度考虑对外汇市场的最佳干预。特别是,通过评估七国集团(G-7)国家的实际和货币冲击的特征,我们为国际货币制度中的最佳反馈规则提供了经验背景。实证结果表明,世界货币存量目标和灵活汇率对于国际货币政策的协调是可取的。第三部分,通过回顾韩国的经验,分析了发展中国家的理想汇率政策。 1980年从单一货币钉住转向一篮子货币钉住,帮助货币当局追求了实际汇率的稳定。但是,汇率政策对1980年代快速经济增长的贡献是有限的,PPP规则似乎不适合作为均衡汇率的指导。

著录项

  • 作者

    Ryou, Jai-Won.;

  • 作者单位

    Yale University.;

  • 授予单位 Yale University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.;Economics Commerce-Business.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 1989
  • 页码 248 p.
  • 总页数 248
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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