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The international monetary regime in the 1970s: Developing a theory of regime change.

机译:1970年代的国际货币制度:发展制度变迁理论。

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The purpose of this work is to investigate the phenomenon of regime change. In particular, a set of hypotheses is developed to explain how regime change occurs and how the content of the reformed regime is determined. The case study used to apply these hypotheses is the period of reform from 1971 to 1976 within the monetary regime, as embodied in the International Monetary Fund. The main changes in the policies of the Fund during this period were the end of par values, a reduction in the use of gold, and an expanded role for the Fund in the economic development of its members. The method of a multivariate analysis, as set out by Oran Young and Gail Osherenko, is used to apply power, interest, knowledge and cross-cutting factors, such as context and leadership, to this case. This work concludes that interest and knowledge factors play the most important role in successful regime reform, but that power and contextual factors are also significant. Based on these conclusions, a more refined multivariate model is suggested for future analysis of regime change.
机译:这项工作的目的是调查政权更替现象。特别是,提出了一组假设来解释政权如何发生变化以及如何确定改革政权的内容。运用这些假设的案例研究是国际货币基金组织(IMF)所体现的货币体制内1971年至1976年的改革时期。在此期间,基金政策的主要变化是票面价值的终止,黄金的使用减少以及基金在其成员经济发展中的作用扩大。 Oran Young和Gail Osherenko提出的多元分析方法用于在这种情况下运用权力,兴趣,知识和跨领域因素,例如情境和领导力。这项工作的结论是,利益和知识因素在成功的政权改革中起着最重要的作用,但权力和背景因素也很重要。基于这些结论,提出了一种更完善的多元模型,用于未来政权变化的分析。

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