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Development of Optimum Well Control Practices Using Artificial Bayesian Intelligence

机译:利用人工贝叶斯智能开发最佳井控实践

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Many well control incidents have been analyzed, resulting in the optimum practices, as outlined in this paper. To the best of the authors' knowledge, there are no systematic guidelines for well control practices. The objective of this paper is to propose a set of guidelines for the optimal well control operations, by integrating current best practices through a decision-making system based on Artificial Bayesian Intelligence. Best well control practices collected from data, models, and experts' opinions, are integrated into a Bayesian Network BN to simulate likely scenarios of its use that will honor efficient practices when dictated by varying operation, kick details, and kick severity.rnThe proposed decision-making model follows a causal and an uncertainty-based approach capable of simulating realistic conditions on the use of well control operations. For instance, as the user vary the operation, rig and crew capabilities, kick details (such as slim hole, deviated or horizontal well), the system will show the optimum practices for circulation method.rnWell control experts' opinions were considered in building up the model in this paper. The advantage of the artificial Bayesian intelligence method is that it can be updated easily when dealing with different opinions. The outcome of this paper is user-friendly software, where you can easily find the specific subject of interest, and by the click of a button, get the related information you are seeking.
机译:如本文所述,已经分析了许多井控事件,从而得出了最佳实践。据作者所知,尚无井井控制实践的系统指南。本文的目的是通过基于人工贝叶斯智能的决策系统整合当前的最佳实践,为优化井控操作提出一套指导方针。从数据,模型和专家的意见中收集的最佳井控实践被整合到贝叶斯网络BN中,以模拟其使用的可能情况,当根据不同的操作,踢的细节和踢的严重性决定时,将遵循有效的实践。制造模型遵循因果关系和基于不确定性的方法,能够模拟使用井控作业的实际条件。例如,随着用户改变操作,钻机和机组能力,井眼细节(例如细孔,偏斜井或水平井),系统将显示循环方法的最佳实践。本文中的模型。人工贝叶斯智能方法的优点是在处理不同意见时可以轻松进行更新。本文的结果是用户友好的软件,您可以在其中轻松找到感兴趣的特定主题,并通过单击按钮获得所需的相关信息。

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