DEPENDENCE ANAL YSIS OF EXPORT-ORIENTED AND SECONDARY INDUSTRIES DEVELOPMENT IN RESOURCE-PRODUCING AREA

摘要

The paper reflects research findings of the path dependence of export-oriented and secondary industries in the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug - Yugra by performing an autocorrelation analysis. In the export-oriented industries, a widespread dependence on last year's indicators and a negative internal cycle have been found. Development dependence analysis of secondary industries showed that development of the construction and manufacturing industries features a 4-year internal cycle with generally negative dependence, but in the agricultural industry, cyclicity of development has not been revealed due to the impact of such external factor as weather conditions. It has been revealed that the path dependence of industries in the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug - Yugra causes problems for economic reforming and diversification.