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Sina Weibo Mood Predicting the Economics Trends

机译:新浪微博的心情预测经济学趋势

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摘要

Social media has already become an important part of daily life. Entering the era of smart phone, people always share their created contents anywhere anytime. Among the created contents, the microblog has become a mapping of human life, which can clearly express natural human emotion and mood. In this paper, we demonstrate how social media content generated by microblog can be used to predict real-world economics trends. Especially, we used the most popular Chinese microblog services Sina Weibo to provide the collective big data for forecasting China economics trends such as China's Shanghai securities (SSE) composite index. A simple model built based on the social mood at which Weibo are created about people emotion can outperform market-based predictors. We further demonstrate how sentiments extracted from Weibo can be further utilized to improve the predicting power of social media.
机译:社交媒体已经成为日常生活的重要组成部分。进入智能手机时代,人们总是随时随地分享所创建的内容。在创造的内容中,微博已成为人类生活的映射,可以清楚地表达自然的人类情感和情绪。在本文中,我们展示了MicroBlog产生的社交媒体内容如何用于预测现实世界的经济学趋势。特别是,我们使用最受欢迎的中国微博服务新浪微博,为中国经济趋势(如中国上海证券(SSE)综合指数等中国经济趋势提供集体大数据。基于Weibo创建关于人们情绪的社交情绪的简单模型可以优于基于市场的预测因子。我们进一步展示了如何进一步利用从微博提取的情绪,以改善社交媒体的预测权力。

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