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MODELING RESPONSE OF CORAL REEF ISLANDS TO SEA-LEVEL RISE

机译:珊瑚礁岛屿对海平面升起的建模响应

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Process-based numerical modeling of reef island morphodynamics has significant potential to enhance our understanding atoll island vulnerability and adaptation to future sea-level rise (SLR). However, limitations associated with traditional numerical models and a lack of available benchmarking data have prevented detailed morphodynamic modeling in reef environments, to date. Here, we apply XBeach-G (non-hydrostatic) to represent sediment transport and morpho-dynamic change on a gravel Motu in Tuvalu. Scaled physical modeling experiments were used to comprehensively analyse model behavior and sensitivity to grain size, ground water conductivity and Nielsen’s phase angle, with multiple combinations producing a close match with wave flume results. XBeach-G was then used to explore island morphological adjustment to SLR, highlighting the complexity and potential associated with representing decadal-scale change in a phase-resoling model. Outputs suggest that island crests can accrete vertically at a similar magnitude to SLR if a near-equilibrium morphology is maintained.
机译:基于过程的Reef Island形态学性的数值建模具有巨大的潜力,可以增强我们理解的Atoll Island脆弱性和适应未来海平面上升(SLR)。然而,与传统数值模型和缺乏可用的基准数据相关的限制阻止了迄今为止在Reef环境中进行了详细的形态学建模。在这里,我们应用Xbeach-g(非静水)在图瓦卢的砾石MOTU上代表沉积物运输和Morpho-动态变化。缩放的物理建模实验用于综合分析模型行为和对粒度,接地导电性和尼尔森的相位角的敏感性,具有多种组合,产生与波浪水槽结果紧密匹配。然后使用Xbeach-G探讨SLR的岛形态调整,突出显示与代表相分辨模型中的二等尺度变化相关的复杂性和潜力。输出表明,如果维持近平衡形态,岛波峰可以在与单反相似的幅度下垂直呈现。

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