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An Improved Correlation Approach to Predict Viscosity of Crude Oil Systems on the NCS

机译:一种改进的相关方法来预测NCS原油系统粘度的相关方法

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An accurate estimation of viscosity values is imperative for an optimal production and transport design of hydrocarbon fluids. Based on this requirement, precise and robust empirical correlation models are highly requested. Even though there are numerous correlation models from literature, most models are inadequate to predict an accurate oil viscosity using unbiased data. This study aims to develop new and improved empirical viscosity correlations through available field measurements on the NCS. The performance of the proposed models is then studied through a comparative analysis with published correlations from literature. New correlation models are developed for dead, gas saturated and undersaturated oils using Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Radial Basis Function Network (RBFN). The first technique is a computational optimization algorithm that aims to improve a function with respect to a specified objective function, while the latter is an artificial neural network model that utilizes radial basis functions as activation functions. The optimization algorithm is used to re-calculate the coefficients of established viscosity correlation expressions while maintaining their functional form. The results show that the modified correlation models are more in agreement with the test data for all three oil types using the defined parameters from literature, compared to the established empirical correlations and the RBFN. The new correlations provide a mean absolute percentage error of 15.08% and 17.41% and 3.35%, for dead, saturated and undersaturated oil viscosity, respectively. The highly accurate result in the latter correlation is linked to the input variables, as the undersaturated viscosity is a function of saturated viscosity, which is presumed known. The results of this study make it reasonable to conclude that the proposed correlation methods are more in- line with the measured viscosity on the NCS compared to the discussed correlation models from literature.
机译:对于烃流体的最佳生产和运输设计,对粘度值的准确估计是必不可少的。基于此要求,高度请求精确和稳健的经验相关模型。尽管文献中存在许多相关模型,但大多数模型也不充分,以预测使用无偏的数据的精确油粘度。本研究旨在通过NCS上的可用现场测量来开发新的和改进的经验粘度相关性。然后通过比较分析研究了所提出的模型的性能,与文献的相关相关性进行了比较分析。使用粒子群优化(PSO)和径向基函数网络(RBFN)开发用于死,气体饱和和不受饱和油的新相关模型。第一技术是一种计算优化算法,其旨在改进关于指定目标函数的函数,而后者是人工神经网络模型,其利用径向基函数作为激活功能。优化算法用于重新计算建立的粘度相关表达的系数,同时保持其功能形式。结果表明,与建立的经验相关性和RBFN相比,修改的相关模型与所有三种油类的测试数据更加吻合所有三种油类型。新相关性分别提供了平均绝对百分比误差为15.08%和17.41%和3.35%,分别用于死亡,饱和和不受较高的油粘度。后一种相关性的高精度结果与输入变量连接,因为缺乏率粘度是饱和粘度的函数,其被推测。该研究的结果使得得出结论,与来自文献的讨论的相关模型相比,所提出的相关方法与NCS上的测量粘度相比。

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