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Optimal control problem from tuberculosis and multidrug resistant tuberculosis transmission model

机译:结核病和多药抗性结核传输模型的最佳控制问题

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Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the contagious and deadly disease in the world. TB can mutate into Multidrug Resistance Tuberculosis (MDR-TB) if the patient does not start with an appropriate treatments. These two diseases can be modeled using system of ten-dimensional ordinary differential equation which represents 10 groups of individuals. Analytic and numerical analysis are done to explain the existence of equilibrium points and the basic reproduction number (R_0) of the model. The analytic and numerical analysis results show that the disease free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable if (R_(01) < 1) and unstable if (R_(01) > 1). The level set of (R_0) respect to interventions parameters is discussed to understand the sensitivity of each parameters to control the spread of TB and MDR-TB. In this paper, the model is also constructed as an optimal control problem with involving three control variables, such as BCG vaccination, treatment with first-line anti-TB drug, and treatment with second-line anti-TB drug. The aim of this problem is to minimize the number of infected individuals and also minimize cost of the controls that given. Optimal control derived using Pontryagin Minimum Principle and then solved numerically using the gradient descent method. The effectiveness of optimal control is exhibited by comparing the number of total infected individuals with and without optimal control. It has been observed that the optimal control strategy gives better result in minimizing the number of total infected individuals.
机译:结核病(TB)是世界上具有传染性和致命的疾病之一。如果患者不能以适当的治疗开始,TB可以突变成多药抗性结核(MDR-TB)。可以使用10维常微分方程的系统建模这两种疾病,该系统代表10组个体。进行分析和数值分析来解释模型的平衡点的存在和均衡点和基本再现号(R_0)。分析和数值分析结果表明,自由疾病平衡点是局部渐近稳定的IF(R_(01)<1)和不稳定IF(R_(01)> 1)。讨论了对干预参数的级别(R_0)的级别,以了解每个参数控制TB和MDR-TB的扩展的灵敏度。在本文中,该模型还构造为涉及三种控制变量的最佳控制问题,例如BCG疫苗接种,用一线抗TB药物处理,并用二线抗TB药物处理。这个问题的目的是最小化受感染的个体的数量,并且还尽量减少给出的控制的成本。使用Pontryagin最小原理衍生的最佳控制,然后使用梯度下降方法在数值上进行解决。通过比较具有和不具有最佳控制的总感染的个体的数量来表达最佳控制的有效性。已经观察到,最佳控制策略在最大限度地减少受感染的个体的数量方面提供更好的结果。

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