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SDE model of SARS disease in Hong Kong and Singapore with parameter stochasticity

机译:香港SARS病的SDE模型,新加坡参数随机性

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A Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) of SARS disease will be discussed in this article involving the randomness of transmission and recovery rate parameters. Intervention of medical mask and medical treatment will be included in the model in order to get a better understanding about a possibility of scenario to control the spread of SARS. Based on the infectious data from Singapore and Hong Kong, the parameters of the model will be approximated by the Least Square method. Numerical simulations of infected individual will be derived by the Euler-Maruyama method. Numerical simulations investigates some possible intervention scenarios: using medical mask, medical treatment, and both interventions.
机译:在本文中讨论了SARS病的随机微分方程(SDE),涉及传输和回收率参数的随机性。医疗面具和医疗的干预将包括在模型中,以便更好地了解控制SARS传播的情况。基于来自新加坡和香港的传染性数据,模型的参数将由最小二乘法近似。受感染个体的数值模拟将由欧拉 - 玛瑙方法衍生出来。数值模拟研究了一些可能的干预情景:使用医疗面具,医疗和两种干预措施。

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