Research on the Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Beijing Based on the System Dynamics Model

摘要

According to water scarcity, using the system dynamics (SD) theory as a guide, this report makes some quantitative and qualitative analyses on the trend of water resources carrying capacity (WRCC) in Beijing. According to several corresponding reasons, counter-measures are proposed to diminish the degree of water scarcity. Comparing with the former result, the later result by using the SD model shows that the intervention plan has a positive effects on water shortage.