Guiding Epidemiological Models by Integrating Point of-Care Diagnostics with Disease-Surveillance Information - (PPT)

摘要

Both simple EBMs and ABMs underestimate: - number of people infected (peak of the epidemic) - time period of infection - need to analyze how additional parameters will influence these outcomes. Careful attention needed not overfit the POC data: - data sparsity - biases in regional variation of population/demographics Tame the beast of "big data" complexity: - need measures for information gain with respect to complex parameter sets.