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Use of risk prediction models for integrated control of diseases of oilseed rape in the UK

机译:使用风险预测模型进行英国油菜疾病综合控制

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To reduce reliance on fungicides for control of oilseed rape diseases, Decision Support Systems (DSS) are being developed to improve targeting of spray applications as part of an integrated disease management strategy. This paper reports on the development and use of an empirical risk prediction model and mechanistic disease progress models for light leaf spot and phoma stem canker. Delivery of the light leaf spot forecast is currently Internet-based, but a PC-based version is being developed as partof the PASSWORD project, which will produce a pest and disease module of the ArableDS system. Uptake of the Internet forecast by target end users (mainly growers and advisors) has been encouraging, with approximately 1000+ visitors and 2500 page visitsduring the past 2004/5 season, with 51% of these being made within two periods crucial to light leaf spot spray decisions.
机译:为了减少对油菜疾病的控制的依赖,正在开发决策支持系统(DSS),以改善喷雾应用的靶向作为综合疾病管理战略的一部分。本文报告了光叶斑和Phoma干溃疡的经验风险预测模型和机械疾病进展模型的开发和使用。灯叶点预测的交付目前是基于Internet的,但是基于PC的版本正在作为密码项目的一部分开发,这将产生所针对的系统的害虫和疾病模块。目标最终用户(主要是种植者和顾问)的摄取互联网预测一直在鼓励,大约1000多个访客和2500页访问了2004/5赛季,其中51%在两个时期内对光叶点至关重要喷雾决策。

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