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Methodology for Landslide Hazard Appraisal Developed in Hong Kong

机译:在香港发育的滑坡危害评估方法

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Landslide hazard became a major public concern in Hong Kong with the progress of urbanization. Disastrous landslides occurred frequently and induced the loss of life and property during rainy season. The large number of slopes renders it difficulty to maintenance all slopes at the same time. Such slopes would have to be treated based on a priority ranking system, taking into account their geotechnical conditions and potential consequences if a slope failure. The paper presents firstly the engineer's experience of Hong Kong in developing risk appraisal system. As so far, several procedures on slope maintenance priority had been set up under the supervision of Geotechnical Engineering Office (GEO), Department of Geotechnical Engineering, HKSRA. Those approaches represented the theme on Landslide Preventive Measures (LPM) of government at different stages. It should be noted that those approaches were also the summerization of many investigator's strive on risk analysis on slope stability. The methodology is still in its way of evolution with the new technology on computer and information science, the knowledge on decision-making, as well as the process of urbanization. It had been noticed that the uncertainty and vagueness of geological condition, environmental quality, natural ecological situation, as well as availability of resources makes current risk analysis unstable in practical operation. To develop fuzzy decision approach in landslide hazard evaluation, a pioneering work in risk assessment on slope failure, may be suitable in simulating the sophisticated decision process. Proposed hereafter aims at tentative work on developing an optimization appraisal scheme. Specifically, the theoretical frameworks of nonlinear programming and fuzzy decision must be merged with land planning consideration and evaluation of slope stability, dealing with information of the complex system.
机译:Landslide Hazard在中国化进展方面成为香港的主要公众关注。灾难性地发生了灾难性的山体滑坡,在雨季期间造成了生命和财产的损失。大量的斜坡呈现难以同时维护所有斜坡。如果斜坡衰竭,必须基于优先排名系统的优先排名系统对这种斜坡基于优先级排名系统治疗。本文首先提出了工程师在发展风险评估系统方面的工程师的经验。到目前为止,已在岩土工程办公室(GEO),岩土工程系,香港特区岩土工程办公室(GEO)的监督下建立了若干程序。这些方法代表了不同阶段政府山体滑坡预防措施(LPM)的主题。应该指出的是,这些方法也是许多调查员的避暑化争取坡度稳定性的风险分析。该方法仍然是随着计算机和信息科学新技术的演变,关于决策的知识以及城市化进程。已经注意到,地质条件,环境质量,自然生态情况以及资源可用性的不确定性和含量使得当前风险分析在实际运作中不稳定。为了在滑坡危险评估中制定模糊决策方法,对坡度故障的风险评估开创性工作,可能适用于模拟复杂的决策过程。提出以后的目的旨在初步开发优化评估计划。具体而言,非线性编程和模糊决定的理论框架必须与土地规划考虑和对坡稳定性的评估合并,处理复杂系统的信息。

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