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A Research on the Relationship between Sold Area, Average Sold Price, and Total Retail Sales of Commercial Property: A Case Study of Chongqing

机译:商品房销售面积,平均售价和零售总额之间的关系研究-以重庆市为例

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This paper explores the relationship between sold area of commercial building, average sold price of commercial building, and total retail sales of consumer goods. A theoretical model of those three variables is constructed through introducing the concept of "macro-Pingxiao," which is assumed to influence the average sold price positively. And an empirical analysis of the theoretical model is presented by using the data from Chongqing for the period 1999-2014. The theoretical and empirical analysis show the findings: (1) according to the empirical test, the theoretical model can well estimate the relationship between sold area of commercial building, average sold price of commercial building, and total retail sales of consumer goods, (2) a linear relationship between average sold price and "macro-Pingxiao" is verified significantly and average sold price always lags "macro-Pingxiao" for 1 year, and (3) this research can also provide a new method to measure the "macro-Pingxiao" of a whole city, which can show a city's commercial property well-run or not, and the operating efficiency of commercial property for Chongqing is slightly superior to break-even.
机译:本文探讨了商业建筑的销售面积,商业建筑的平均售价与消费品零售总额之间的关系。通过引入“宏平消”的概念,构建了这三个变量的理论模型,假定该模型会对平均销售价格产生积极影响。并利用重庆市1999-2014年的数据对理论模型进行了实证分析。理论和实证分析表明:(1)根据经验检验,该理论模型可以很好地估算出商品房销售面积,商品房平均售价和社会消费品零售总额之间的关系,(2) )平均销售价格与“宏观平价”之间的线性关系得到了显着验证,并且平均售价始终滞后于“宏观平价”达1年,而且(3)该研究还可以提供一种衡量“宏观平价”的新方法。整个城市的“平霄”,可以显示一个城市的商业地产是否运作良好,重庆的商业地产运营效率略高于收支平衡。

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