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Household savings rates and housing prices in China—Based on cohort analysis

机译:中国的家庭储蓄率和房价-基于队列分析

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Based on the perspective of cohort analysis, this paper examines the empirical relationship between housing prices and household savings rates in China by using family tracking survey data (CFPS) as sample. We find that the appreciation of housing prices can lead to household savings rates to decline, and changes in housing prices by 1 unit produce decreases in household savings rates by 2.2 units, the robust tests support our conclusions. The age curve of savings rates shows that the savings rates of the elder cohort is lower than that of the younger cohort, which is in accordance with life-cycle theory.
机译:基于队列分析的观点,本文以家庭追踪调查数据(CFPS)为样本,考察了中国房价与家庭储蓄率之间的经验关系。我们发现,住房价格的升值会导致家庭储蓄率下降,而住房价格每变动1个单位,家庭储蓄率就会下降2.2个单位,有力的检验支持了我们的结论。储蓄率的年龄曲线表明,老年人群的储蓄率低于年轻人群的储蓄率,这符合生命周期理论。

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