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Urban Traffic Collision Frequency Analysis and Modeling for Edmonton in Canada

机译:加拿大埃德蒙顿的城市交通碰撞频率分析与建模

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Consistently higher number of traffic collisions was observed on Friday as compared to other days of the week in Edmonton, Canada. The collision data was investigated and a collision prediction model was formulated based on three contributing factors: 1) number of daylight hours, 2) number of snowfall hours, and; 3) visibility on daily basis. A negative binomial (NB) model was formulated to establish a relation between the collision frequency and the independent variables. The model accuracy test results were found good. Statistical measures indicate that increased traffic collision is significantly related with increased number of snowfall hours. The proposed NB model could provide a realistic estimate of expected collision frequency for a particular day as a function of number of hours of daylight, number of hours of snowfall and visibility. It is expected that predicted collision frequencies will help the decision maker to quantify the traffic safety of Edmonton.
机译:与加拿大埃德蒙顿的一周中的其他日相比,周五观察到始终如一的交通碰撞。研究了碰撞数据,并根据三个贡献因素制定了碰撞预测模型:1)日光小时数,2)降雪时间数和; 3)每日可见性。配制负二项式(NB)模型以建立碰撞频率与独立变量之间的关系。模型准确性测试结果良好。统计措施表明,增加的交通碰撞与降雪时间增加显着相关。所提出的NB模型可以提供特定日期的预期碰撞频率的现实估计,作为日光小时数,降雪时间数和可见性的函数。预计预测的碰撞频率将有助于决策者量化Edmonton的交通安全。

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